Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.223915 0.252807 0.283433 0.318254 0.356686 0.397744 0.444865
2025-08-03 0.187900 0.227362 0.271641 0.324795 0.386642 0.456101 0.539769
2025-08-10 0.163639 0.210167 0.264971 0.333819 0.417494 0.515358 0.637900
2025-08-17 0.140109 0.190073 0.251580 0.332070 0.433739 0.556937 0.716449
2025-08-24 0.122181 0.174279 0.241037 0.331660 0.450106 0.598158 0.795492
2025-08-31 0.107465 0.160636 0.231351 0.330621 0.464444 0.636435 0.871658
2025-09-07 0.097934 0.152737 0.228105 0.337116 0.488134 0.687000 0.965120
2025-09-14 0.087910 0.142906 0.221034 0.337327 0.502669 0.725449 1.043598
2025-09-21 0.079404 0.134292 0.214707 0.337677 0.516793 0.763304 1.122175
2025-09-28 0.072094 0.126659 0.208988 0.338143 0.530589 0.800734 1.201076
2025-10-05 0.066799 0.121595 0.206555 0.343006 0.550576 0.847218 1.293931
2025-10-12 0.063028 0.118580 0.206912 0.351868 0.576579 0.902970 1.401639
2025-10-19 0.057987 0.113124 0.203248 0.354641 0.594151 0.948134 1.497350
2025-10-26 0.054285 0.109593 0.202368 0.361642 0.618407 1.004003 1.610758
2025-11-02 0.051442 0.107283 0.203265 0.371441 0.647341 1.067845 1.738173
2025-11-09 0.046835 0.101251 0.197332 0.369474 0.657298 1.103034 1.823568
2025-11-16 0.042946 0.096147 0.192550 0.368998 0.669409 1.141722 1.915323
2025-11-23 0.039349 0.091209 0.187628 0.367845 0.680138 1.178387 2.004905
2025-11-30 0.037241 0.089023 0.187495 0.374955 0.704820 1.237826 2.131729
2025-12-07 0.034413 0.085041 0.183685 0.375182 0.717682 1.278567 2.230118
2025-12-14 0.031859 0.081359 0.180129 0.375564 0.730668 1.319763 2.330297
2025-12-21 0.029546 0.077940 0.176793 0.376073 0.743758 1.361394 2.432247
2025-12-28 0.027941 0.075932 0.176077 0.381400 0.765504 1.418001 2.560134